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Market Updates

FEBRUARY 2025 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE
Market Knowledge

FEBRUARY 2025 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

March 3, 2025 Sales remain above long-term trends despite declines Inventory levels saw substantial year-over-year growth for the second ...

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JANUARY 2025 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE
Market Knowledge

JANUARY 2025 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

Supply levels improve in January Calgary, Alberta, February 3, 2025 – Following three consecutive years of limited supply choice, inventory ...

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DECEMBER 2024 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE
Market Knowledge

DECEMBER 2024 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

2024 marks another strong year for sales and price growth The year ended with 1,322 sales in December, a three per cent decline over ...

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NOVEMBER 2024 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE
Market Knowledge

NOVEMBER 2024 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

December 2, 2024 Supply on the rise, but not across all price ranges As we transition into winter, Calgary's housing market is following ...

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Style & Design

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Home safety for trick or treaters As a responsible homeowner, making your property safe for young trick-or-treaters ...

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March 3, 2025

Sales remain above long-term trends despite declines

Inventory levels saw substantial year-over-year growth for the second month in a row, rising by 76 per cent to 4,145 units in February. While inventory increases were seen across all price ranges, the largest increases were in homes priced under $500,000.

The increase was driven by substantial growth in the more affordable apartment and row/townhouse sectors. The overall months of supply was 2.4 in February, similar to last month but more than double this time last year. Apartment-style units remained the most well-supplied at 3.1 months.

There were 1,721 sales in February, which was above historical averages for the month but 19 per cent lower than levels seen last year and significantly lower than the record levels seen in the post-pandemic period. New Listings in February reached 2,830, roughly in line with historical averages for the month. The sales-to-new listings ratio for the month was 61 per cent, higher than historical averages but below levels seen in each of the last three years.

“Even though more people listed their homes for sale, there were actually fewer sales than in February 2024. So, we’re seeing the seller’s market of the past two or three years ease off,” said Alan Tennant, President and CEO of CREB®. “In turn, that’s caused the pace at which prices are increasing to slow down a bit, which should come as welcome news for buyers.”

The total residential unadjusted benchmark price in February was $587,600, relatively stable compared to late-2024 and roughly one per cent higher year-over-year. Price changes varied across the city, with the City Centre and North districts seeing declines, while the East district saw the largest price growth at over three per cent.

Detached

Sales in February slowed to 765 units, nearly 20 per cent lower than last year. New Listings increased by nearly six per cent year-over-year to 1,265 units. The decline in sales, coupled with the gain in new listings, drove inventory levels higher, reaching 1,698 and a 61 per cent increase in levels compared to 2024.

Months of supply improved across all districts compared to the levels seen last year, although the recovery is uneven across the city. The City Centre and North East districts continue to trend towards more balanced conditions, while the South and North West districts remain supply-constrained at approximately 1.6 months.

The unadjusted benchmark price rose to $760,500, roughly five per cent higher than last February. Prices rose across all districts, with the largest increase occurring in the City Centre district at nearly eight per cent growth.

Semi-Detached

There were 240 new listings in February, a gain of seven per cent from 2024. Sales fell by nearly 14 per cent compared to 2024, slowing to 165 units. This gap between sales and new listings drove inventories up by 46 per cent, though they remain below long-term averages for the sector in February. There was a large variation in months of supply across the city, with a low of just one month in the North West district compared to a high of eight months in the East district.

The unadjusted benchmark price pushed above levels seen in the late summer and early fall, rising by nearly seven per cent year-over-year to $683,500. This increase was supported by price grains across all districts, with the largest growth occurring in the City Centre and South districts of approximately eight per cent.

Row

As with other property types, year-over-year sales fell by over nine per cent while new listings increased by almost four per cent. Despite the sales decline, both sales and new listings remain above long-term averages for the month. This drop in sales pushed inventories to 655 units, more than double the levels seen last year, though still lower than the historical average levels for February. Months of supply improved across the city; the South and East districts have the tightest conditions at under 1.5 months, while the North East district has almost three months.

Unadjusted benchmark prices remain below levels seen in the fall but are up almost three per cent year-over-year at $446,880. Prices increased across all districts, with marginal increases in the South East and North districts, while the East district experienced a significant 12 per cent increase compared to 2024. 

Apartment Condominium

Sales reached 473 units in February, 26 per cent lower than last year but still well above long-term averages for the apartment sector in February. New listings were relatively flat year-over-year, but at 852 units, it was the highest amount on record for the month. Driven by the record new listings, inventory increased by 90 per cent year-over-year and also pushed to near-record levels. Months of supply reached 3.1 months in February, a substantial 155 per cent increase over 2024 but still well below record levels seen in the period between the 2014 oil crash and the pandemic.

The unadjusted benchmark price for February was $334,200, comparable to levels seen in the fall and almost four per cent above the prices seen this time last year. The largest price growth occurred in the West district at over eight per cent.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie

The overall Airdrie market fell roughly in line with its long-term averages in February, with sales declining while new listings and inventories rose to levels typical of the month. Sales declined by nearly nine per cent, reaching 123 units, while new listings increased by nearly 23 per cent to 225 units. This drop in sales, combined with an increase in new listings, pushed inventories to over double the amount seen last year, rising to 345 homes. As a result, months of supply pushed up to nearly three months, also in line with long-term averages and the highest seen in the market since before the pandemic.

The unadjusted benchmark price for February was essentially flat compared to last month and remained below levels seen in the fall at $537,600, but were 1.6 per cent higher than seen last February. 

Cochrane

Sales in February reached 75 units, while new listings reached 126 units, both increases over this time last year and above long-term averages for the market. Inventory increased by over 48 per cent year-over-year to 196 units, the highest level seen in any month since the spring of 2021 but still below long-term averages for February in the Cochrane market. This increase in inventory allowed the months of supply to recover to 2.6 months, the highest since the pandemic but still well below historical levels for the month. The relatively tight conditions supported prices recovering near the record-high levels seen in the summer, as the unadjusted benchmark price increased by over five per cent year-over-year to $577,100.

Okotoks

February saw sales decline by four per cent year-over-year to 45 units, though they remained in line with long-term averages for the month. New listings increased by seven per cent compared to 2024, and, at 60 units, remained well below levels typically seen in February. Inventory recovered to 69 units, 19 per cent above 2024, but as with new listings, they remained significantly lower than historical levels for the month. These tighter inventory levels also kept the months of supply well below what would typically be seen in February at just 1.5 months. Despite the tight conditions, the unadjusted benchmark price for the month was relatively flat compared to January and under one per cent higher than in 2024.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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Supply levels improve in January

Calgary, Alberta, February 3, 2025 – Following three consecutive years of limited supply choice, inventory levels in January rose to 3,639 units. While the 70 per cent year-over-year gain is significant, inventory levels remain lower than the over 4,000 units we would typically see in January. Inventories rose across all property types, with some of the largest gains driven by apartment-style condominiums.

“Supply levels are expected to improve this year, contributing to more balanced conditions and slower price growth,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “However, the adjustment in supply is not equal amongst all property types. Compared with sales, we continue to see persistently tight conditions for detached, semi-detached and row properties while apartment condominiums show signs of excess supply for higher priced units.”

Citywide, the months of supply reached 2.5 months in January, an improvement over the one month of supply reported last year, but it is still considered low for a winter month. The month of supply ranged from under two months for semi-detached properties to 3.5 months for apartment-style units.

Rising supply resulted from a boost in new listings compared to sales. New listings rose to 2,896 units in January, compared to 1,451 sales. Sales in January were down by 12 per cent compared to last year. However, even with a pullback in sales, levels remained nearly 30 per cent higher than levels typically recorded in January. 

The total residential benchmark price in January was $583,000, which is relatively stable compared to levels reported at the end of last year and nearly three per cent higher than last January. Price growth ranged across districts within the city as well as property types.

Detached
Driven by gains from homes priced above $600,000, new listings reached 1,228 units in January, which is 29 per cent higher than last year. At the same time, sales activity slowed to 674 units, which brought levels in line with long-term trends. The improvement in new listings relative to sales did help support inventory gains. However, the 1,448 units in inventory are still nearly 27 per cent lower than levels we traditionally see in January, and the months of supply remained relatively low at just over two months. 

While conditions are not as tight as last year, there is some variation within the city districts as more balanced conditions are taking shape in the City Centre and North East districts. In January, the unadjusted benchmark price was $750,800, slightly higher than last month and seven per cent higher than last January. On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices have remained relatively stable since the second half of last year.

Semi-Detached
Like other property types, gains in new listings relative to sales helped support some gains in inventory levels. While the semi-detached sector represents a relatively small share of activity in our market, sales in January did improve over last year, keeping the months of supply just below two months. Within the city, there is some significant variation, as the City Centre, North East, and West districts are all reporting near or above three months of supply, while all other districts have less than two months of supply. 

The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $673,600, slightly lower than last month but over eight per cent higher than levels reported last January. The districts with higher months of supply also reported some modest monthly price declines, offsetting stable to modest gains in the North, North West, South, South East, and East districts.

Row
In 2024, there were 4,647 row home sales, a gain of over two per cent compared to last year and the second-highest total on record. The growth in sales was possible thanks to the 18 per cent gain in new listings, most of which occurred for homes priced above $400,000—the gains in new listings relative to sales supported inventory growth in 2024.

By the year's end, supply improvements helped take the pressure off home prices. However, the annual benchmark price rose by 14 per cent as conditions favoured the seller throughout the year. Prices rose across all districts in the city, with the gains ranging from a low of 12 per cent in the City Centre to over 20 per cent in the most affordable districts in the North East and East.

Apartment Condominium
January reported a boost in new listings compared to sales activity. This caused inventory levels to rise to 589 units, more than double the near-record low levels reported last January. The recent rise in new listings has helped bring inventories to levels that are more consistent with long-term trends. At the same time, the months of supply also improved, pushing above two months, a trend that started to play out over the second half of last year. 

Improving supply relative to sales has taken some of the pressure off home prices, but not consistently across the city. Citywide, the unadjusted benchmark price was $444.900, slightly lower than last month and nearly five per cent higher than last year. While prices are higher than last year across all districts, the largest monthly adjustment occurred in the North East district. 

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie
Sales in January remained in line with levels reported last month and last year, which were well above long-term trends. However, thanks to a boost in new listings, inventory levels improved, and the months of supply remained above two months for the fifth consecutive month. While 2.6 months of supply is below historical trends for Airdrie, it is a significant improvement over the under two months that has persisted since 2021. More supply in the resale and new home markets has taken some of the pressure off home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $537,300, down over last month but nearly four per cent higher than last year. 

Cochrane
Like other areas, Cochrane is seeing improved levels of new listings and inventories in their market. There were 104 new listings in January compared to 71 sales, and inventories pushed up to 156 units. January inventory levels are better than levels reported over the past three years but still fall short of long-term trends for the month. Like Airdrie, it has been the fifth consecutive month with the months of supply above two months, easing the upward pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $565,900, down over last month but nearly five per cent higher than last January. 

Okotoks
Unlike Cochrane and Airdrie, new listings in Okotoks remained relatively low compared to last year. While the pullback in sales did help support some improvements in inventory levels, the 68 units available in January are still half the levels that were available in January prior to the pandemic. Limited supply has driven much of the price gains in this market since 2021. As of January, the unadjusted benchmark price was $614,900, a slight gain over last month and nearly five per cent higher than last year. 

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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2024 marks another strong year for sales and price growth

The year ended with 1,322 sales in December, a three per cent decline over last year, but nearly 20 per cent higher than long-term trends. Overall sales in 2024 were just shy of last year’s levels, as gains for higher-priced homes offset pullbacks in the lower price ranges caused by supply challenges.

“Population gains over the past several years have supported sales activity that has outperformed long-term trends. In 2024, sales would likely have been higher if there was more supply choice, especially in the lower price ranges,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “That being said, we did start to see shifts occurring in the market in the second half of the year as supply levels started to improve for higher priced homes.” 

As of December, there were 2,989 units available in inventory, still below long-term trends for the month but a significant improvement over the lower levels reported last December and levels reported early this year. Improved rental choice and significant gains in new home activity helped boost new listings in the resale market, driving higher inventories in the year's second half. 

While conditions vary depending on price range and property type, more housing options have helped to take some of the pressure off home prices, which stabilized in the second half of the year following steep gains in the spring. Overall, on an annual basis, total residential benchmark prices improved by over seven per cent. 

As we move into 2025, supply will continue to be a dominant theme. However, how they impact prices will ultimately depend on the type of supply being added and how demand holds up in the face of a changing economic climate. On January 21, CREB® will release its forecast report, highlighting the expectations and risks facing the market in the coming year.

Detached

Easing lending rates have likely supported some recent year-over-year gains in detached home sales over the past three months. Improving sales were driven by gains for homes over $600,000, which also reported improvements in new listings. Inventory levels did improve within city limits for detached homes; however, conditions varied across districts. The City Centre, North East and North District all reported relatively balanced conditions over the last quarter of the year, while all other districts continued to struggle with seller market conditions. 

The relatively tight market conditions throughout the year caused prices to rise by nearly eleven per cent in 2024, a faster pace than what was reported in 2023. Much of that growth occurred during spring when supply levels were exceptionally low. Prices grew across all districts, with the strongest growth occurring in the most affordable districts of the North East and East. 

Semi-Detached

Limited supply choice for lower-priced detached homes drove many purchasers toward the semi-detached sector. In 2024, there were 2,355 sales, with an annual gain of five per cent. Thanks to gains in new listings relative to sales, inventory levels started to improve, supporting a shift toward more balanced conditions by the fourth quarter. However, much of this shift occurred in the higher-priced City Centre district, where the months of supply averaged three months in the last quarter. 

The annual average benchmark price increased by nearly 11 per cent to $669,042 in 2024. Like detached homes, exceptionally tight conditions throughout the spring caused the pace of price growth to rise over the seven per cent annual gain reported in 2023. Prices improved across all districts, ranging from an annual gain of under 10 per cent in the City Centre and West to gains exceeding 15 per cent in the North East and East districts.

Row

In 2024, there were 4,647 row home sales, a gain of over two per cent compared to last year and the second-highest total on record. The growth in sales was possible thanks to the 18 per cent gain in new listings, most of which occurred for homes priced above $400,000—the gains in new listings relative to sales supported inventory growth in 2024.
 
By the year's end, supply improvements helped take the pressure off home prices. However, the annual benchmark price rose by 14 per cent as conditions favoured the seller throughout the year. Prices rose across all districts in the city, with the gains ranging from a low of 12 per cent in the city centre to over 20 per cent in the most affordable districts in the North East and East.

Apartment Condominium

Easing sales in the second half of the year offset earlier gains, causing apartment sales to slow by four per cent compared to last year. However, last year was a record high for sales, and the 7,568 transactions this year reflect the second-highest year on record. At the same time, new listings have been on the rise, supporting inventory gains and a shift toward more balanced conditions by the end of the year.
 
As more supply became available, we did see some price adjustments in the last quarter of the year. However, the quarterly decline did not offset the strong gains that occurred earlier in the year, and the annual benchmark price rose by 15 per cent. Price growth ranged from a low of 11 per cent in the city centre to over twenty per cent in the North East, East and South districts. 

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie

Despite some recent pullbacks, sales activity reached 1,951 units in 2024, a gain of over four per cent compared to last year. The gain, in part, was possible thanks to a boost in new listings that helped add some much-needed supply to the Airdrie market. Much of the inventory gain occurred in the later portion of the year, causing the months of supply to push above two months in September and improve throughout the last quarter of the year.

The shift toward more balanced conditions took some pressure off prices over the last quarter of the year. However, on an annual basis, the benchmark price rose by nearly eight per cent, a faster pace than the previous year. Prices rose across all property types, with faster growth occurring for the relatively more affordable higher-density homes.

Cochrane

Market conditions in Cochrane favoured the seller throughout most of the year as strong sales relative to new listings prevented any significant shift in inventory levels. However, by the last quarter of the year, we started to see more new listings relative to sales, causing the sales-to-new listings ratio to ease to levels more consistent with balanced conditions. This helped support some inventory gains; however, over the last quarter of the year, inventory levels were still well below long-term trends for the area.
 
The inventory gains relative to sales in the later part of the year did push the months of supply above two months. This helped take some of the pressure off home prices but not enough to offset earlier gains. Overall, the annual benchmark price rose by nearly nine per cent averaging $565,808 in 2024.

Okotoks

New listings rose by 16 per cent in 2024, supporting sales growth of nearly eight per cent. The gains in new listings also helped support some gains in inventory levels this year. However, throughout most of the year, inventory levels were half the levels traditionally seen in the market and have not been high enough to change the seller market conditions that have persisted in Okotoks since 2021.
 
The tight market conditions drove further price growth this year and at a faster pace than last year. Benchmark prices in Okotoks averaged $615,708 in 2024, nearly eight per cent higher than last year. Several years of price growth caused a rise in activity for semi-detached and row-style units, driving tighter conditions in those sectors and priced growth that exceeded 11 per cent on an annual basis.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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December 2, 2024 

Supply on the rise, but not across all price ranges

As we transition into winter, Calgary's housing market is following typical seasonal trends, with activity slowing compared to the fall. However, year-over-year demand remains relatively strong. In November, increased sales in detached, semi-detached, and row homes offset a decline in apartment condominium sales. The 1,797 sales for November mirrored last year’s levels and remained 20 per cent above long-term trends for the month.

The significant shift lies in supply. Inventory levels rose to 4,352 units in November, a notable increase from the 3,000 units reported last year. Despite the recent gains, inventory levels remain below long-term trends for the month.

“Housing supply has been a challenge over the past several years due to the sudden rise in population,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “Rising new home construction has bolstered supply in rental, new home and resales ownership markets. However, supply improvements vary significantly by location, price range, and property type.”

The months of supply have increased to over two months, representing a shift away from the extremely low levels seen earlier this year and in the past three Novembers, which reported under two months of supply. While these more balanced conditions are promising for potential buyers, many market segments still favour sellers.

Improved supply options have tempered the pace of price growth. Year-over-year gains range from nearly seven per cent for row homes to nine per cent for apartment-style units. The total residential benchmark price reached $587,900, reflecting a year-over-year increase of just under four per cent. This slower growth reflects a shift toward more affordable row and apartment-style units. Seasonally adjusted prices have remained stable over the past four months despite unadjusted prices trending down in line with seasonal patterns.

Detached

Rising sales for homes above $600,000 offset the declines in the lower price ranges caused by limited supply choice. While inventory levels did improve, 85 per cent of the supply was priced above $600,000. Improving supply caused the months of supply to push above two months in November, with higher months of supply reported for homes priced above $700,000 and less than two months of supply for homes priced below that level. This variation within the market is likely to result in different price pressures.
 
The unadjusted detached benchmark price was $750,100, slightly lower than last month but over seven per cent higher than prices reported last year at this time. Year-over-year gains have ranged across the city, with slower growth reported in areas with the most competition from newer homes.  
 
Semi-Detached

There were 173 sales in November, an improvement over last year and contributing to the year-to-date growth of nearly five per cent. This was possible thanks to gains in new listings and higher supply levels. With two months of supply, conditions are not as tight as earlier in the year but still favour the seller, especially for properties priced below $700,000.

As of November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $675,100, nearly eight per cent higher than last November. The pace of price growth has eased over the past several months, primarily due to seasonal factors. Benchmark prices ranged from $926,800 in the City Centre district to $409,300 in the East district of the city.
 Row

Row home sales improved in November compared to last year, contributing to nearly three per cent of year-to-date gains. Sales have remained exceptionally strong over the past three years as purchasers seek more affordable options. At the same time, new listings have also improved relative to sales, supporting year-over-year gains in inventory levels. Despite inventory improvements, conditions remained relatively tight with nearly two months of supply.

Following steep gains earlier in the year, the pace of price growth has eased. As of November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $454,200, nearly seven per cent higher than last year. Year-to-date average benchmark prices have improved by nearly 15 per cent. Row prices in the City Centre were the highest at $620,000, while the North East and East districts were the only areas to report benchmark prices below $400,000.
 Apartment Condominium

Sales in November slowed over last year's record high. However, the 429 sales were still 47 per cent higher than long-term trends. New listings for apartment-style units have been on the rise. With 1,482 units available in November, more supply is available now than during the spring, and it is the only sector to see levels rise above long-term trends for the month.

The additional supply caused the months of supply to push above three months and is taking some of the pressure off home prices. As of November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $337,800, down over last month, but still nine per cent higher than last year. Supply has improved for units priced above $200,000, but most gains have been in the $300,000 to $500,000 range.  

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

With 344 units available, Supply in Airdrie is returning to levels more consistent with activity reported prior to 2020. Supply levels have improved across all property types, with detached and row-style properties accounting for 84 per cent of the supply. While sales have remained strong relative to long-term trends, recent gains in new listings helped support improvements in supply levels.

Improved supply choice is taking some of the pressure off home prices. In November, the total residential benchmark price was $543,300, four per cent higher than last November. Apartment-style properties reported the largest year-over-year change at nearly 16 per cent.

Cochrane

New listings in the town reached a record high for November. The rise in new listings was met with a surge in sales, as November sales were amongst the highest levels reported in November. Much of the growth in sales was driven by detached activity. Strong sales activity prevented a significant shift in inventory levels, which remain 18 per cent below the month's long-term trends.

The pace of price growth has eased over the past few months, which is not uncommon for this time of year. As of November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $568,600, nearly four per cent higher than levels reported last year at this time. While prices grew across all property types, the largest price gains were reported for apartment-style homes.
 
Okotoks

Unlike other centres, Okotoks reported a pullback in new listings to 47 units this month. At the same time, there were 52 sales, preventing any significant change to the low inventory situation in the area. Okotoks has struggled with supply since the end of 2020, keeping the months of supply low below two months throughout most of that time.

In November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $624,000, six per cent higher than last year's levels. Prices have improved across all property types, with the largest gains occurring for row-style properties. Detached prices have also been on the rise and, in November, pushed up to $707,300.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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Supply levels improving for higher-priced homes

November 1, 2024

Sales and Price Range Dynamics | Sales of homes priced above $600,000 rose, which balanced out the declines at the lower end of the market. Overall, October sales were similar to last year, showing a rise from September and a level 24% above long-term trends for the month.

Supply and Demand Balance | The demand for housing remained strong, particularly in the lower to mid-price ranges, where inventory remains limited. Supply levels improved compared to last year but were primarily driven by higher-priced homes, leading to more balanced conditions in the upper end of the market.

Inventory Trends | Inventory levels in the city increased, reaching 4,966 units in October, up from 3,205 last year. This inventory growth has shifted composition, with nearly half of the homes priced above $600,000, helping ease tight market conditions.

Pricing Trends and Seasonal Effects | The benchmark price for residential properties was $592,500 in October, up over 4% from last year, with a year-to-date average increase of over 8%. Unadjusted prices saw a slight seasonal dip compared to September, though seasonally adjusted prices remained stable.
Housing Market Facts

Detached | Home sales rose to 1,071 in October, a gain over last month and nearly 10 per cent higher than last year. While new listings were higher than last year, they slowed over last month, causing the sales to new listings ratio to rise to 69 per cent and preventing any further monthly gain in inventory levels. With 2,199 units available, the months of supply remained near two months, a gain over the under two months reported last year at this time, but slightly lower than last month.

The unadjusted detached benchmark price was $753,900 in October, slightly lower than last month but still eight per cent higher than levels reported last October. Additional supply choices in the higher price ranges have taken some of the pressure off home prices. However, the recent monthly pullbacks are more related to seasonal conditions, as seasonally adjusted prices have remained relatively stable over the past three months.

Semi-Detached | Sales in October rose over last month and were over six per cent higher than levels reported last year at this time, contributing to the year-to-date growth of over three per cent. New listings for semi-detached homes have also been on the rise, supporting some steady gains in inventory levels. The shift in supply compared to demand has helped push the market toward more balanced conditions, especially for higher-priced properties. However, with only two months of supply, the overall conditions still favour the seller.

The unadjusted benchmark price was $677,000 in October, similar to last month and over eight per cent higher than last year. Year-to-date prices have averaged an over 11 per cent gain.

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Top-Tier Real Estate: 2024 Fall State of Luxury Report*

Canada’s housing market continues to balance the effects of population growth and declining mortgage rates against a slowing economy, rising geopolitical tensions, and wavering consumer confidence, resulting in a luxury market that remains steady, but reflected limited growth in the third quarter of 2024. According to Sotheby’s International Realty Canada’s Top-Tier Real Estate: Fall 2024 State of Luxury Report, the luxury condominium market in two of Canada’s major urban centres, Toronto and Vancouver, have shifted into buyers’ territory with prices stabilizing as supply outstrips demand. While demand for luxury single family homes has remained resilient, overall market dynamics have evolved to better favour homebuyers in these two key markets, creating advantageous conditions for purchasing luxury homes in cities typically renowned for hyper-competition.

“In recent years, the demand for upward housing mobility across the conventional and luxury housing markets of Canada’s largest cities has risen to all-time highs. However, these aspirations have been out of reach for many Canadians due to skyrocketing housing prices and intense competition for available property inventory. This fall, homebuyers and investors are set to encounter some of the most favourable conditions in years for purchasing or upgrading their homes as top-tier property listings supply increases, interest rates decline, and housing prices stabilize or even decrease in certain communities. This trend is especially evident in the once fiercely competitive markets of Vancouver and Toronto, as well as across the luxury condominium sector,” says Don Kottick, President and CEO of Sotheby’s International Realty Canada. “Although we expect the luxury market to remain largely stable in the coming months, over the longer term, there is no doubt that population growth will intensify competition for housing. Further, rising building costs and ongoing bureaucratic and policy barriers will only discourage construction. This means that there is an opportunity to take advantage of the favourable homebuying conditions we are seeing today.”

According to Don Kottick, it has taken the better part of a year for Canada’s luxury real estate to absorb the effects of multiple interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada, as homebuyers in this segment are typically insulated from rate changes as they utilize cash reserves and strong financial positions. However, the cumulative effect of interest rate cuts has permeated market sentiment, instilling confidence and spurring transactions among those who wish to capitalize on elevated inventory levels and variable interest rates, or preparation for strategic real estate transactions in the months ahead. Should additional rate reductions take place before year-end, pre-transactional activity is likely to translate into a substantial boost in sales.

MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

Toronto
In the country’s largest luxury real estate market, the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), overall residential real estate sales over $4 million (condominiums, attached and single family homes) remained consistent year-over-year between July 1–August 31, with a nominal uptick of 3%. Although single family home sales over $4 million saw a modest 4% annual improvement, $4 million-plus condominium sales fell 25% from last summer’s levels. GTA residential sales over $1 million were down 11% year-over-year over the summer months. Preliminary fall activity indicates similar trends ahead, as $4 million-plus residential sales in the GTA saw an annual increase of 9% between September 1–30. During this period, single family home sales over $4 million were up 9% year-over-year, while one condominium sold over $4 million, on par with September 2023. GTA residential sales over $1 million remained in balance with a 2% year-over-year uptick this September.

Vancouver
Sales activity softened across Vancouver’s luxury real estate market in the third quarter, as high housing prices and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming provincial election dampened consumer confidence. From July 1–August 31, luxury residential sales over $4 million fell 13% short of summer 2023 levels, with $4 million-plus single family home sales down 16% year-over-year, while seven $4 million-plus condominiums sold compared to six sold last summer. Overall, residential sales over $1 million were down 15% year-over-year during this time. Uneasy consumer sentiment was reflected in September activity, as residential sales over $4 million fell 52% from September 2023 levels. Single family home sales over $4 million were down 48% year-over-year, and there were no sales of condominiums over $4 million compared to two sales in the previous September. $1 million-plus residential sales saw an annual decline of 31% overall.

Montreal
In contrast, top-tier property sales in Montreal improved through the summer months across all residential housing types, condominiums, attached and single family homes, and sales collectively surged to close the third quarter of 2024 with strong gains across the $1 million-plus market. Although there were five sales over $4 million between July 1–August 31, down from nine properties sold over the previous summer, sales over $1 million were up 15% year-over-year. September sales data reflects a market poised for improved activity, as $1 million-plus residential sales soared 83% year-over-year, while two properties sold over $4 million, compared to three transactions in September 2023.

Calgary
Calgary’s luxury market performance continued to surpass major cities across Canada in the third quarter of 2024, as gains in population from immigration and in-migration boosted demand across all residential housing types. Between July 1–August 31, $1 million-plus sales climbed 31% year-over-year, with one property sold over $4 million, on par with seasonal levels recorded each year between 2021–2023. September luxury sales activity foreshadows an active and healthy market ahead. With $1 million-plus sales up by 15% year-over-year, and with two properties sold over $4 million between September 1–30 compared to a quiet $4 million-plus market in September 2023, Calgary is poised for healthy activity in the months ahead.

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New listing growth driven by higher-priced homes

October 1, 2024

Sales Decline in Lower Price Ranges | Despite rising sales in higher price ranges, overall sales in September dropped 17% compared to last year, although they remained 16% higher than typical September levels.

Higher Listings in Upper Price Ranges | There was an increase in new listings, mainly in higher-priced homes. Limited availability in lower-priced homes constrained stronger market sales despite strong demand across price ranges.

Inventory Growth and Market Balance | New listings in September reached a high since 2008, pushing inventory levels to 5,064 units. This helped shift the market towards more balanced conditions, though it still favored sellers.

Price Growth Moderating | Although home prices have cooled in recent months, the benchmark price in September was $596,900, up over 5% from last year. Price gains varied by property type, with apartments showing the largest year-over-year increase of nearly 14%.
Housing Market Facts

Detached | The nine per cent growth in sales over $700,000 was not enough to offset the steep pullbacks reported for homes priced below $600,000, causing September sales to total 942 units, a 17 per cent decline over last year. Improved sales for higher-priced homes were possible thanks to rising new listings, as that segment of the market is starting to demonstrate more balanced conditions for homes priced above $700,000.

As of September, the unadjusted detached benchmark price was $757,100, a slight decline over last month, but nearly nine per cent higher than levels reported last year. It is not unusual to see some monthly adjustments in the fall, especially following stronger gains in the spring. With tighter conditions being experienced for lower-priced products, price growth has also ranged within the detached sector. The North East and East districts continue to report the largest year-over-year price gains.

Semi-Detached | September reported 299 new listings and 182 sales, causing the sales-to-new listings ratio to trend up over last month to nearly 61 per cent. Despite the gain over the past several months, the improvements in new listings relative to sales have supported rising inventory levels. However, with less than 400 units available, inventory levels remain nearly 33 per cent below long-term trends for September.

Like the other property types, recent gains in new listings are causing the months of supply to improve over last year's levels. However, with just over two months of supply in September, conditions continue to favour the seller. Following strong gains in the spring, in September, the unadjusted benchmark price eased slightly over last month, but at a price of $678,400, levels are over nine per cent higher than last year at this time.

View the CREB® | New listing growth driven by higher-priced homes

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Calgary housing market sees shifts

Housing activity continues to move away from the extreme sellers’ market conditions experienced throughout the spring. Easing sales, combined with gains in supply, pushed the months of supply above two months in August, a level not seen since the end of 2022.

“As expected, rising new home construction and gains in new listings are starting to support a better-supplied housing market,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “This trend is expected to continue throughout the remainder of the year, but it’s important to note that supply levels remain low, especially for lower-priced properties. It will take time for supply levels to return to those that support more balanced conditions.”

Inventory levels in August reached 4,487 units, 37 per cent higher than last August but nearly 25 per cent lower than long-term trends for the month. Higher-priced properties mostly drove the supply gains, as the most affordable homes in each property type continued to report supply declines.

The supply gains were made possible by both an increase in new listings in August and a pullback in sales activity. There were 2,186 sales in August, representing a 20 per cent decline from last year's record high but still 17 per cent higher than long-term averages for the month. The sales declines were driven by homes priced below $600,000.

Following stronger-than-expected gains earlier in the year, the pace of price growth is starting to slow. In August, the total unadjusted residential benchmark price was $601,800, six per cent higher than last year and just slightly lower than last month. Year-to-date, the average benchmark price rose by nine per cent.

Detached

Detached home sales fell by 14 per cent compared to last year, as gains in homes priced above $600,000 were not enough to offset declines in the lower price ranges, which continue to struggle with low supply levels. In August, there were 2,011 detached homes available in inventory, with over 85 per cent priced above $600,000.

The improving higher-end supply compared to sales helped push the months of supply up to nearly two months. While market conditions are still tight, this is a significant improvement from the under-one-month supply experienced in the spring. Shifting conditions are relieving some pressure on home prices. In August, the unadjusted detached benchmark price was $762,600, slightly lower than last month but still over nine per cent higher than last year.

Semi-Detached

With 297 new listings and 172 sales, the sales-to-new-listings ratio in August dropped to 58 per cent, which is more consistent with pre-pandemic levels. This shift supported a rise in inventory levels, and the months of supply rose to nearly two months.

While conditions remain relatively tight, the boost in new listings has helped ease some of the pressure on prices. In August, the unadjusted benchmark price was $681,200, a decline from last month but nearly 10 per cent higher than last year.

Row

New listings row for homes priced above $400,000, contributing to year-to-date growth of nearly 16 per cent. At the same time, slower sales over the past three months have contributed to inventory gains. In August, there were 660 units available, a 75 per cent increase over the exceptionally low levels reported last year. While inventories are still low by historical standards, as with other property types, this shift is helping ease pressure on home prices.

The unadjusted benchmark price in August was $461,700, slightly lower than last month but over 12 per cent higher than last August. Monthly adjustments were not consistent across districts, with adjustments in the City Centre, North West, North, and West districts mostly driving monthly declines. Despite the monthly adjustments, year-over-year prices remain higher than last year across all districts and range from a low of 10 per cent in the City Centre to a high of 26 per cent in the East district.

Apartment Condominium

New listings in August reached 1,001 units, a record high for the month. The gains in new listings were met with a pullback in sales, causing the sales-to-new-listings ratio to drop to 60 per cent and inventories to rise to 1,476 units. Unlike other property types, overall condominium inventory levels were relatively consistent with longer-term trends for the month.

Rising inventory and easing sales caused the months of supply to increase to nearly two and a half months, not as high as levels seen before the pandemic but an improvement over the extremely tight conditions seen over the past 18 months. In August, the unadjusted benchmark price was $346,500, similar to last month and nearly 16 per cent higher than last year’s prices.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

New listings in Airdrie continued to rise this month compared to last year. However, with 242 new listings and 172 sales, the sales-to-new-listings ratio remained relatively high at 71 per cent. This prevented a stronger gain in inventory levels and kept the months of supply below two months. The tightest conditions in the market continue to be in the lower price ranges of each property type.

While conditions continue to favour the seller, they are not as tight as during the spring months, taking some pressure off home prices. In August, the unadjusted benchmark price was $553,300, similar to last month and nearly eight per cent higher than last year.

Cochrane

August reported 81 sales and 109 new listings, keeping the sales-to-new-listings ratio elevated at 74 per cent, enough to prevent any gain in inventory levels. With 144 units available, inventory levels are nearly 42 per cent below long-term trends for the month.

Persistently tight conditions continue to drive further price growth in the town. In August, the unadjusted benchmark price was $578,600, slightly higher than last month and over eight per cent higher than last year’s levels. Prices have risen across all property types, with the largest gains occurring for apartment-style properties.

Okotoks

A boost in detached sales supported the rise in August sales compared to last year. The 67 sales in August were met with 84 new listings, pushing the sales-to-new-listings ratio near 80 per cent. This prevented any significant shift in inventory levels, which remain nearly 47 per cent lower than long-term trends.

With just over one month of supply, conditions remain relatively tight. The unadjusted benchmark price in August was $622,700, similar to last month and over seven per cent higher than last August.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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Supply levels improve, taking some pressure off prices

With the busy spring market behind us, we are starting to see some shifts in supply levels. With 2,380 sales and 3,604 new listings, the sales-to-new listings ratio fell to 66 per cent, supporting a gain in inventory. Inventories rose to 4,158 units, still 33 per cent below what we typically see in July, but the first time they have pushed above 4,000 units in nearly two years.

Although the majority of supply growth occurred for homes priced above $600,000, the rise has helped shift the market away from the extreme sellers’ market conditions experienced throughout the spring.

“While we are still dealing with supply challenges, especially for lower-priced homes, more options in both the new home and resale market have helped take some of the upward pressure off home prices this month,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “This is in line with our expectations for the second half of the year, and should inventories continue to rise, we should start to see more balanced conditions and stability in home prices.”

July sales eased by 10 per cent over last year's record high but were still higher than long-term trends for the month. Like last month, the pullback in sales has been driven by homes priced below $600,000.

Nonetheless, the gain in inventory combined with slower sales caused the months of supply to rise to 1.8 months, still low enough to favour the seller but a significant improvement from the under one month reported earlier this year.

Improved supply helped slow the pace of monthly price growth for each property type. In July, the total residential benchmark price was $606,700, similar to last month and nearly eight per cent higher than last year's levels.

Detached

Detached home sales in July fell by eight per cent, as the 15 per cent rise for homes priced above $600,000 was not enough to offset the 50 per cent decline occurring in the lower price ranges.

The decline in the lower price ranges reflects limited availability as inventories and new listings continue to fall for lower-priced homes. Year-to-date detached sales have eased by just over one per cent compared to last year.

With 1,098 sales and 1,721 new listings this month, inventories rose to 1,950 units. Inventories are still low based on historical levels, but the gain did help push the months of supply up to nearly two months and supports some stability in prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in July was $767,800, similar to last month but 11 per cent higher than last July.

Semi-Detached

Relative affordability continues to attract purchasers to the semi-detached sector. While sales did slow slightly compared to last year, year-to-date sales reached 1,518 units, six per cent higher than last year.

The growth in sales was possible thanks to gains in new listings. However, conditions remain relatively tight, with a 76 per cent sales-to-new listings ratio and months of supply of 1.5 months.

While the pace of monthly price growth has slowed, at an unadjusted benchmark price of $687,900, prices are nearly 12 per cent higher than last year. The highest price growth continues to occur in the city's most affordable North East and East districts.

Row

Gains in row new listings relative to a pullback in sales caused the sales-to-new listings ratio to fall to 73 per cent this month. This supported gains in inventory levels, and the months of supply rose to 1.3 months.

While conditions continue favouring the seller, the shift prevented further monthly price gains this month. Nonetheless, at a benchmark price of $464,200, levels are still nearly 15 per cent higher than last year. Year-over-year price gains have ranged from a low of 13 per cent in the City Centre and North districts to over 20 per cent in the North East and East districts.

Apartment Condominium

Sales in July slowed to 659 units, as a significant drop in sales occurred for properties priced below $300,000. Like the other property types, limited supply choices for the lower-priced units prevented stronger sales activity.

New listings in July were 1,043 units, high enough to cause the sales-to-new listings ratio to fall to 63 per cent. This supported inventory gains and months of supply of over two months. Improved supply relative to sales helped slow the pace of monthly price growth.

However, the unadjusted benchmark price of $346,300 is still 17 per cent higher than levels reported last year at this time.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

New listings in July rose to 287 units, the highest level ever reported for July. At the same time, sales slowed to 186 units, supporting some gains in inventory levels. While inventories have improved, the 298 units are still 26 per cent lower than typical levels seen in July.

Inventory gains have occurred across most price ranges in Airdrie but conditions continue to remain relatively tight, especially in the lower price ranges of each property type. Overall, the unadjusted benchmark price in July was $553,900, similar to last month but eight per cent higher than last year's levels.

Cochrane

July sales improved over last year’s levels, contributing to the year-to-date gain of nearly eight per cent. While new listings also improved compared to last year in July, it was not enough to cause any significant shift from the low inventory levels.

With a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 83 per cent and months of supply of 1.5 months, the market remained relatively tight, and prices continued to rise. In July, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $576,600, nearly one per cent higher than last month and nine per cent higher than last year’s levels.

Okotoks

A pullback in sales relative to new listings helped support gains in higher inventory levels in Okotoks. While inventory levels are 25 per cent higher than last year, the 85 units still reflect exceptionally low inventory levels and are half the levels typically seen in July.

With a sales-to-new listings ratio of 78 per cent and months of supply of 1.3 months, conditions continue to favour the seller. While there have been some monthly price fluctuations, the unadjusted benchmark price in July reached $622,200, over six per cent higher than last July.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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CREB® releases Q2 2024 Calgary and region housing market report

The Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®) has released its Q2 2024 housing market report, providing an overview of the real estate landscape in Calgary and surrounding areas. The report showcases trends in sales and pricing, offering valuable insights for industry professionals and prospective homebuyers and sellers.
 
The latest data reveals that new listings have risen for the fourth consecutive quarter compared to the previous year. Much of the gains have occurred in the upper price ranges of each property type, as rising prices and persistently high lending rates are encouraging more sellers to list their properties. The increase in new listings compared to sales caused the sales-to-new listings ratio to fall below 80 per cent for the first time since Q1 2023. While this shift has supported some inventory gains, it is important to note that the market continues to favour sellers with a Q2 sales-to-new-listings ratio of 75 per cent and a months-of-supply of one month.
 
In the second quarter, sales slowed by three per cent compared to the same period last year. The decline was driven by lower-priced properties, where supply levels are the lowest. Despite this slowdown, sales levels remained 29 per cent above long-term trends. After the first half of the year, sales were nearly six per cent higher than last year's levels.
 
“The unexpected surge in migration over the past two years has contributed to the demand growth and supply challenges experienced in the Calgary market,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “While we still have to work through the pent-up demand, slowing migration levels and supply gains in the resale and new home markets should start to support more balanced conditions, taking some of the pressure off home prices.”
 
So far this year, home prices have risen by 10 per cent, with the most significant gain occurring in row properties at 19 per cent and the lowest growth of 13 per cent in detached and semi-detached homes. Moving forward, increased supply generated through the new home sector will help support a better-supplied rental and ownership market, reducing pressure on home prices. Slowing price growth is anticipated throughout the second half of the year as supply levels improve. However, conditions will vary based on property type and price range. Much of the supply growth is expected to impact higher-priced properties, slowing their growth. Meanwhile, persistently tight conditions for the most affordable properties will continue to drive further price increases.
 
For the full report, please download CREB®’s Q2 2024 Calgary & Region Quarterly Update Report here.

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